SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Fylde |
45.77% ( -0.54) | 26.5% ( -0.06) | 27.73% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( 0.57) | 54.73% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( 0.47) | 76.05% ( -0.47) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( -0.01) | 23.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% ( -0.01) | 58.04% ( 0.01) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( 0.79) | 34.88% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.38% ( 0.82) | 71.62% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.77% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.73% |
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