Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Notts County in this match.
