Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.