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National League | Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
SU

Hartlepool
1 - 0
Sutton

Oates (53')
Holohan (54'), Featherstone (75'), Cass (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Davis (73')
Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Sutton United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hartlepool United in this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSutton United
39.6%26.72%33.68%
Both teams to score 51.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53%53.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01%74.99%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.61%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04%29.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93%66.07%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 39.59%
    Sutton United 33.68%
    Draw 26.72%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.59%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.68%

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