SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 46.38%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
46.38% ( -0.22) | 27.04% ( -0.03) | 26.58% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.23% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% ( 0.26) | 57.38% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% ( 0.21) | 78.2% ( -0.2) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( 0.01) | 24.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( 0.01) | 59.28% ( -0.01) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( 0.36) | 37.26% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% ( 0.35) | 74.05% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.58% |
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