SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
51.39% ( 0.39) | 24.49% ( 0.19) | 24.12% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( -1.34) | 49.36% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -1.22) | 71.41% ( 1.21) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.36) | 19.2% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.11% ( -0.6) | 50.88% ( 0.59) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( -1.24) | 35% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( -1.33) | 71.75% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.05% Total : 24.12% |
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