Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
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