Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
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