Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
