Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
