Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.