Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.