We said: Notts County 3-0 Dover Athletic
After previously beating Dover 3-0 just last week, we are predicting a similar scoreline again on Monday to see County strengthen their grip on a playoff spot.
Despite being defeated at the weekend, the home side are in strong form lately, whilst it is difficult to see where the next point will come from for a poor visiting Dover side.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 86.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 4.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.