After previously beating Dover 3-0 just last week, we are predicting a similar scoreline again on Monday to see County strengthen their grip on a playoff spot.
Despite being defeated at the weekend, the home side are in strong form lately, whilst it is difficult to see where the next point will come from for a poor visiting Dover side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 86.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 4.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
