Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
0.02) 
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