Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.
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