SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Boston United |
54.92% ( 0.39) | 24.57% ( 0.03) | 20.51% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( -0.6) | 53.35% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( -0.51) | 74.89% ( 0.51) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.08) | 19.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( -0.13) | 51.13% ( 0.13) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.26% ( -0.79) | 40.74% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.68% ( -0.71) | 77.32% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Boston United |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 54.91% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.51% |
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