SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
41.63% ( 0.01) | 25.16% ( 0.01) | 33.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.04) | 46.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.03) | 69.2% ( 0.03) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.01) | 22.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( -0.01) | 56.02% ( 0.01) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.03) | 27.07% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( -0.04) | 62.44% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.21% |
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