Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
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