SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
57.47% ( 0.05) | 22.31% ( -0.1) | 20.22% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( 0.53) | 44.46% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( 0.51) | 66.83% ( -0.51) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( 0.2) | 15.21% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.14% ( 0.37) | 43.86% ( -0.37) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( 0.36) | 35.95% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.27% ( 0.37) | 72.73% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.47% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.22% |
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