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National League | Gameweek 12
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The EBB Stadium.
SU

Aldershot
1 - 1
Southend

Tolaj (45')
Jones (37'), Mnoga (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cardwell (73')
Taylor (22'), Husin (77'), Scott-Morriss (88')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawSouthend United
27.41% (-0.084 -0.08) 24.34% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 48.24% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.08% (0.185 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.277 0.28)46.12% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.261 0.26)68.42% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.081000000000003 0.08)30.59% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.097999999999999 0.1)66.83% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.173 0.17)19.2% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (0.286 0.29)50.88% (-0.286 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 27.41%
    Southend United 48.24%
    Draw 24.34%
Aldershot TownDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 27.41%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.82% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 48.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 0-2 Aldershot
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-4 Chesterfield
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 3-0 Aldershot
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-0 Maidenhead
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: York City 3-0 Southend
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 1-1 Southend
Saturday, September 9 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 2-1 Southend
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League


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