SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
63.11% ( 0.09) | 20.88% ( -0.05) | 16.02% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( 0.16) | 44.93% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 0.15) | 67.29% ( -0.15) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( 0.08) | 13.6% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.26% ( 0.16) | 40.74% ( -0.16) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.96% ( 0.05) | 41.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.41% ( 0.04) | 77.59% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.88% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 16.02% |
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