SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
21.25% ( 0.12) | 22.92% ( -0.05) | 55.82% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% ( 0.38) | 45.81% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% ( 0.36) | 68.12% ( -0.36) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( 0.33) | 35.69% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( 0.34) | 72.46% ( -0.34) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( 0.11) | 16.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.24% ( 0.2) | 45.76% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.25% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.82% |
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