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National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
D&

Torquay Utd
1 - 2
Dag & Red

Jarvis (45+1')
Dawson (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Effiong (78' pen., 90+5')
Onariase (35'), Hare (56'), Sagaf (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Torquay United 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge

Despite Dag & Red realistically having little to play for between now and the end of the season, their players will be determined to impress their new manager, which should ensure that they remain professional and motivated until the off-season begins. However, Torquay are scrapping for every point that they can possibly collect as they attempt to avoid dropping into the sixth tier once again, but they may have to settle for a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dagenham & Redbridge in this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawDagenham & Redbridge
35.79% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 24.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 39.85% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.98% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (0.082000000000001 0.08)42.74% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.079999999999998 0.08)65.15% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)57.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.075999999999993 0.08)21.51% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44% (0.116 0.12)54.56% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 35.79%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 39.85%
    Draw 24.36%
Torquay UnitedDrawDagenham & Redbridge
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 39.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Bromley
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Southend
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-4 Wrexham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 2-1 York City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 25 at 5.20pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 2-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League


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