SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for York City had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
47.82% ( -0.8) | 24.45% ( 0.23) | 27.73% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( -0.64) | 46.36% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( -0.61) | 68.65% ( 0.61) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.58) | 19.47% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.67% ( -0.95) | 51.33% ( 0.95) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( 0.09) | 30.48% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.3% ( 0.11) | 66.69% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.82% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.73% |
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