Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.