SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Wrexham |
29.13% ( -0.89) | 24.08% ( 0.19) | 46.79% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( -1.36) | 43.85% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( -1.34) | 66.24% ( 1.34) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( -1.28) | 28.19% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( -1.66) | 63.88% ( 1.66) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( -0.25) | 18.89% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.62% ( -0.42) | 50.38% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.13% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 5.2% 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.31% Total : 46.79% |
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