Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.