Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0) 
