SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Torquay United |
| 73.67% | 16.08% ( 0) | 10.26% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.34% ( -0.01) | 36.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.18% ( -0.01) | 58.83% ( 0.02) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.45% ( -0) | 8.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.41% ( -0.01) | 29.59% ( 0.01) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.31% ( -0.01) | 44.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.32% ( -0.01) | 80.69% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Torquay United |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% 3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.86% 5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.62% Total : 73.66% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.08% | 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.05% 0-2 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 10.26% |
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