Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.02) 
