SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
27.01% ( -1.37) | 24.47% ( 0.25) | 48.52% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( -2) | 46.95% ( 2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -1.9) | 69.2% ( 1.9) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( -2.06) | 31.33% ( 2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% ( -2.46) | 67.7% ( 2.46) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( -0.33) | 19.41% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.76% ( -0.54) | 51.24% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.01% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.52% |
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