SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Altrincham |
38.69% ( -0.03) | 24.05% ( -0.02) | 37.26% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.28% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.11) | 41.11% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( 0.11) | 63.51% ( -0.11) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.03) | 21.36% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( 0.05) | 54.34% ( -0.05) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( 0.07) | 22.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( 0.11) | 55.43% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.26% |
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