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National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Grosvenor Vale
B

Wealdstone
0 - 2
Barnet


Habergham (24'), Simper (42'), Ferguson (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kabamba (46'), Pritchard (74')
Revan (16'), Cropper (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wealdstone 1-2 Barnet

Wealdstone appear to have hit a road block in their season having been humiliated in each of their last two matches, and we can envisage Barnet taking advantage to claim a hugely important victory against their rivals. A win for the visitors would all but secure a playoff spot for them given the gap that it would create between them and their opponents in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawBarnet
34.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.61%42.23% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 62.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.02% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 34.16%
    Barnet 42.23%
    Draw 23.6%
WealdstoneDrawBarnet
2-1 @ 7.85%
1-0 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.16%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 4.89%
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.03%
2-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 42.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-4 Chesterfield
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-1 Maidstone
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 4-0 Altrincham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 5-0 Wealdstone
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Yeovil
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Barnet
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-1 Barnet
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 4-1 Aldershot
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League


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