SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
24.42% ( -0.23) | 24.63% ( 0.02) | 50.96% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.33% ( -0.27) | 49.67% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( -0.24) | 71.69% ( 0.25) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( -0.35) | 34.92% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.34% ( -0.36) | 71.65% ( 0.36) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( -0.02) | 19.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( -0.04) | 51.37% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.42% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.95% |
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