Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
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