SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
38.48% ( -0.01) | 25.56% ( -0.01) | 35.95% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( 0.05) | 48.27% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( 0.05) | 70.42% ( -0.05) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( 0.02) | 24.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( 0.02) | 59.18% ( -0.02) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0.04) | 26.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( 0.05) | 61.1% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.48% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 35.95% |
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