SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Southend United |
39.04% ( -0.04) | 25.08% ( 0.01) | 35.88% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( -0.04) | 46.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.59% ( -0.04) | 68.41% ( 0.04) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.04) | 23.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( -0.06) | 57.38% ( 0.06) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0) | 25.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% | 59.78% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.88% |
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