Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Woking would win this match.
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