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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
32.53% ( -4.66) | 24.93% ( 0.37) | 42.54% ( 4.29) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( -2.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.87% ( -2.55) | 46.13% ( 2.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( -2.46) | 68.43% ( 2.45) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -3.87) | 27.09% ( 3.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% ( -5.34) | 62.47% ( 5.34) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( 0.98) | 21.69% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% ( 1.48) | 54.84% ( -1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.67)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.6)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.72)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.46)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.55)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.39)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.53% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.61)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 1.17) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 1.07)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.38)0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.63)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.54% |
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