Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Rochdale
31.23%	26.4%	42.37% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.77% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2% (

52.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

74.43%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73% (

31.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.38% (

67.62%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

24.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.79%

59.21%

Score Analysis

Oxford City 31.23%

Rochdale 42.36%

Draw 26.39%

Oxford City	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.23%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.36%