SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Yeovil Town | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 18 | Maidenhead United | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | York City | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Southend United | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | York City |
43.87% ( -0.21) | 27.17% ( 0.2) | 28.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.32% ( -0.74) | 56.67% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.36% ( -0.6) | 77.63% ( 0.6) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.44) | 25.65% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( -0.6) | 60.55% ( 0.6) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.38) | 34.96% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% ( -0.41) | 71.7% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.95% |
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