SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Woking | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Maidenhead United | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Southend United | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | York City | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Torquay United | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | York City |
44.47% ( -0.09) | 25.49% ( 0.06) | 30.03% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( -0.23) | 49.56% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( -0.21) | 71.59% ( 0.22) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.14) | 22.25% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -0.21) | 55.68% ( 0.22) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( -0.09) | 30.46% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.33% ( -0.12) | 66.67% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.03% |
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