SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Boreham Wood | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | York City | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Oldham Athletic | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | York City | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Oldham Athletic | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Dorking Wanderers | 5 | -1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
30.21% ( -0.04) | 26.25% ( -0.02) | 43.54% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% ( 0.05) | 52.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% ( 0.05) | 74.25% ( -0.05) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% ( -0) | 31.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% ( -0) | 68.34% ( 0) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.05) | 24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% ( 0.08) | 58.25% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.21% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.54% |
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