Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Eastleigh
45.9% ( 0.49)	25.71% ( -0.02)	28.38% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 52.39% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71% (

-0.17)

51.29% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

-0.15)

73.12% (

0.15)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.68% (

0.15)

22.32% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21% (

0.23)

55.79% (

-0.23)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45% (

-0.45)

32.55% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.91% (

-0.5)

69.09% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

York City 45.9%

Eastleigh 28.39%

Draw 25.7%

York City	Draw	Eastleigh
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.9%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.39%