SM
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Armenia | Draw | Scotland |
29.62% ( -0.04) | 25.54% ( -0) | 44.83% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.04% ( -0.01) | 49.95% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( -0.01) | 71.93% ( 0) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( -0.03) | 30.94% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( -0.04) | 67.24% ( 0.03) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( 0.01) | 22.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( 0.02) | 55.68% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Armenia | Draw | Scotland |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.62% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.83% |
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