Although Norway are expected to make a number of changes, the players that come into the side will be eager to make an impression, and we think that the hosts will utilise home advantage on Tuesday to edge out Armenia in Oslo.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
