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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
GN

Armenia
1 - 4
Germany

Mkhitaryan (59' pen.)
Voskanyan (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Havertz (15'), Gundogan (45+4' pen., 50'), Hofmann (64')
Neuhaus (54'), Arnold (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 14.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.49%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
ArmeniaDrawGermany
14.49%21.44%64.07%
Both teams to score 45.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88%50.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92%72.08%
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.72%46.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.06%81.93%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02%14.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.59%43.4%
Score Analysis
    Armenia 14.49%
    Germany 64.06%
    Draw 21.43%
ArmeniaDrawGermany
1-0 @ 5.34%
2-1 @ 3.91%
2-0 @ 2.06%
3-1 @ 1%
3-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.49%
1-1 @ 10.13%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 21.43%
0-1 @ 13.15%
0-2 @ 12.49%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-3 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 6.09%
0-4 @ 3.76%
1-4 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-5 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 1.12%
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 64.06%

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