Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.