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Nations League | League A
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
DN

Croatia
2 - 1
Denmark

Sosa (49'), Majer (79')
Perisic (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eriksen (77')
Kjaer (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: France 0-1 Croatia
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Austria
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Croatia 0-0 Denmark

Denmark certainly do not possess an affinity for draws, but rustiness may come into play for both sides after three months with no international action, and June's showdown was an extremely close contest. Both defences should also feel capable of keeping their opposing attackers at bay, especially with Denmark a tad light in that area, so we would not be surprised to see this one end goalless as the battle for top spot goes right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Croatia win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
CroatiaDrawDenmark
29.59% (-0.121 -0.12) 23.58% (-0.19 -0.19) 46.82% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 60.32% (0.589 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.75% (0.81 0.81)41.25% (-0.813 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.35% (0.82 0.82)63.64% (-0.822 -0.82)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (0.32600000000001 0.33)26.56% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.22% (0.432 0.43)61.78% (-0.435 -0.44)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.437 0.44)17.86% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.37% (0.75 0.75)48.62% (-0.753 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 29.59%
    Denmark 46.83%
    Draw 23.57%
CroatiaDrawDenmark
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.29% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.04% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.55% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.31% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 46.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: France 0-1 Croatia
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 0-1 Croatia
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 France
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 0-3 Austria
Friday, June 3 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Bulgaria
Tuesday, March 29 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Slovenia
Saturday, March 26 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Austria
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 0-1 Croatia
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Austria 1-2 Denmark
Monday, June 6 at 9.15pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 1-2 Denmark
Friday, June 3 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 3-0 Serbia
Tuesday, March 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 4-2 Denmark
Saturday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies


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