With jellied legs possibly forcing Dalic to disrupt the defensive harmony more than he would have wanted, a refreshed set of French attacking options can finally help Les Bleus post their first win in the group at the fourth attempt. Deschamps's side will still be in for a rough ride with Modric and Kovacic dictating play from the middle, but Croatia's frontline is not all that fear-inducing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
France	Draw	Croatia
53.7% ( -0.04)	24.97% ( 0)	21.33% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03% (

0.02)

53.97% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

0.01)

75.41% (

-0.02)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.93% (

-0.01)

20.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.69% (

-0.01)

52.31% (

0.01)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

0.04)

40.24% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

0.04)

76.87% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

France 53.69%

Croatia 21.33%

Draw 24.96%

France	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.69%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.33%